Match Analysis

TorinovsCagliari

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

57%
21%
22%
Torino winDrawCagliari win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.00
1.75Avg goals scored0.87
1.57Avg goals conceded1.92
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Torino xG

Expected goals

1.2

Cagliari xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

10%

1–1

9%

1–0

8%

2–0

8%

3–1

7%

1–2

6%

Home

Torino

Torino

DWWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.6

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Cagliari

Cagliari

DLLDW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Torino vs Cagliari?

Torino is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Torino's current form?

Torino have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Torino Win57%
Draw21%
Cagliari Win22%
BTTS61%
Over 2.564%