Match Analysis

TorinovsMonza

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

60%
19%
21%
Torino winDrawMonza win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.40
1.24Avg goals scored1.47
1.41Avg goals conceded2.46
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

Torino xG

Expected goals

1.4

Monza xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

7%

3–1

7%

2–0

6%

2–2

6%

1–0

5%

Home

Torino

Torino

DDLWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Monza

Monza

LWLDW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Torino vs Monza?

Torino is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Torino's current form?

Torino have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Torino Win60%
Draw19%
Monza Win21%
BTTS69%
Over 2.575%