Match Analysis

Udinese vs As Roma

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

5%
3%
92%
Udinese winDrawAS Roma win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.60
1.97Avg goals scored2.85
2.62Avg goals conceded0.25
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.4

Udinese xG

Expected goals

4

AS Roma xG

32%

Both Teams to Score

81%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

03

13%

04

13%

02

10%

05

10%

01

5%

13

5%

Home

Udinese

Udinese

LLWWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

AS Roma

AS Roma

WDWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.9 / 0.2

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Udineseall timeAs Roma
1W
5W
2 Feb 26
Udinese10AS Roma
9 Nov 25
AS Roma20Udinese
26 Jan 25
Udinese12AS Roma
22 Sep 24
AS Roma30Udinese
25 Apr 24
Udinese12AS Roma
26 Nov 23
AS Roma31Udinese

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Udinese vs As Roma?

AS Roma is favored with a 92% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Udinese's current form?

Udinese have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Udinese won 1, drew 0, and As Roma won 5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 32%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Udinese Win5%
Draw3%
AS Roma Win92%
BTTS32%
Over 2.581%