Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.3
Udinese xG
Expected goals
1.1
Lazio xG
17%
Both Teams to Score
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
27%
0–0
25%
0–2
15%
1–1
8%
1–0
7%
0–3
5%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $405K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Udinese
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.4
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Lazio
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.0 / 0.2
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Udinese vs Lazio?
Lazio is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Udinese's current form?
Udinese have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Udinese won 2, drew 3, and Lazio won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (27% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 17%. Over 2.5 goals: 17%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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