Match Analysis

Udinese vs Lazio

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

26%
30%
44%
Udinese winDrawLazio win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.00
1.47Avg goals scored1.52
1.63Avg goals conceded0.89
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Udinese xG

Expected goals

1.8

Lazio xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

11

11%

01

10%

12

10%

02

9%

00

6%

10

6%

Home

Udinese

Udinese

LWWDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.6

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Lazio

Lazio

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Udineseall timeLazio
2W
3D
1W
27 Apr 26
Lazio33Udinese
27 Dec 25
Udinese11Lazio
10 Mar 25
Lazio11Udinese
24 Aug 24
Udinese21Lazio
11 Mar 24
Lazio12Udinese
7 Jan 24
Udinese12Lazio

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Udinese vs Lazio?

Lazio is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Udinese's current form?

Udinese have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Udinese won 2, drew 3, and Lazio won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard →

Match Odds

Udinese Win26%
Draw30%
Lazio Win44%
BTTS56%
Over 2.555%

Find prediction markets →

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi