Match Analysis

UdinesevsLecce

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

56%
20%
24%
Udinese winDrawLecce win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game0.80
1.41Avg goals scored0.98
2.20Avg goals conceded2.07
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Udinese xG

Expected goals

1.5

Lecce xG

70%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

2–2

7%

3–1

7%

1–2

6%

2–0

6%

Home

Udinese

Udinese

DLLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Lecce

Lecce

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Udinese vs Lecce?

Udinese is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Udinese's current form?

Udinese have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Udinese Win56%
Draw20%
Lecce Win24%
BTTS70%
Over 2.573%