Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Venezia xG
Expected goals
0.9
Fiorentina xG
49%
Both Teams to Score
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
13%
1–1
11%
2–0
11%
2–1
10%
0–0
7%
0–1
7%
Home
Venezia
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.8 / 2.4
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Away
Fiorentina
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.5 / 2.7
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Venezia vs Fiorentina?
Venezia is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Venezia's current form?
Venezia have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Serie A meetings, Venezia won 1, drew 1, and Fiorentina won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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