Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.4
Venezia xG
Expected goals
2.9
Napoli xG
31%
Both Teams to Score
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
16%
0–3
15%
0–1
11%
0–4
11%
0–5
6%
1–2
6%
Home
Venezia
PPG
1.40
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Napoli
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.8 / 0.3
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Venezia vs Napoli?
Napoli is favored with a 80% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Venezia's current form?
Venezia have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Serie A meetings, Venezia won 0, drew 1, and Napoli won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 31%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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