Match Analysis

VeneziavsNapoli

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

4%
8%
88%
Venezia winDrawNapoli win

Key Stats

0.20Points per game1.00
0.88Avg goals scored1.78
2.73Avg goals conceded0.88
0–1–4Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Venezia xG

Expected goals

3.4

Napoli xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

12%

0–2

11%

0–4

10%

0–5

7%

1–3

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Venezia

Venezia

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.7

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Away

Napoli

Napoli

DDWLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.9

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Venezia vs Napoli?

Napoli is favored with a 88% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Venezia's current form?

Venezia have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Venezia Win4%
Draw8%
Napoli Win88%
BTTS44%
Over 2.576%